Description

This analysis provides a forecast of JASMY prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-10 0.008427 0.009912 0.011695 0.014028 0.017054 0.020926 0.026387
2025-08-17 0.006210 0.007842 0.010015 0.013226 0.018047 0.025390 0.038280
2025-08-24 0.005052 0.006663 0.008953 0.012620 0.018726 0.029348 0.051794
2025-08-31 0.004494 0.006149 0.008637 0.012920 0.020780 0.036413 0.077005
2025-09-07 0.003953 0.005548 0.008045 0.012574 0.021525 0.041366 0.103278
2025-09-14 0.003503 0.005015 0.007454 0.012066 0.021754 0.045329 0.132798
2025-09-21 0.003222 0.004705 0.007174 0.012052 0.022997 0.052612 0.189090
2025-09-28 0.003065 0.004573 0.007172 0.012568 0.025636 0.065938 0.317670
2025-10-05 0.002995 0.004575 0.007406 0.013620 0.030100 0.090143 0.688986
2025-10-12 0.002859 0.004445 0.007370 0.014073 0.033196 0.113702 1.457585
2025-10-19 0.002671 0.004201 0.007078 0.013865 0.034239 0.129709 2.717424
2025-10-26 0.002526 0.004021 0.006887 0.013864 0.035994 0.153262 6.788801
2025-11-02 0.002334 0.003752 0.006515 0.013414 0.036348 0.172056 20.281800
2025-11-09 0.002136 0.003456 0.006056 0.012663 0.035356 0.180917 64.256234
2025-11-16 0.001975 0.003216 0.005690 0.012093 0.034851 0.194372 731.656783
2025-11-23 0.001897 0.003129 0.005641 0.012375 0.038039 0.255891 NaN
2025-11-30 0.001783 0.002962 0.005395 0.012049 0.038440 0.290651 NaN
2025-12-07 0.001669 0.002788 0.005114 0.011570 0.037927 0.313717 NaN
2025-12-14 0.001597 0.002690 0.004997 0.011557 0.039741 0.389038 NaN
2025-12-21 0.001562 0.002663 0.005037 0.012044 0.044590 0.583670 NaN
2025-12-28 0.001555 0.002693 0.005218 0.013035 0.053496 1.136359 NaN
2026-01-04 0.001517 0.002655 0.005227 0.013461 0.059531 1.947706 NaN
2026-01-11 0.001451 0.002555 0.005071 0.013265 0.061052 2.614903 NaN